Icons: Buttons: 04: Sortrix

button-1-175-command

button-2-175-discipline1

button-3-175-heaven

button-4-175-ground

button-5-175-moral-law

button-6-175-training

button-7-175-victory

  1. Command – one command to one command
  2. Discipline  – one command to many commands
  3. Heaven – one command to many victories
  4. Ground – many commands to many victories
  5. Moral Law – many commands to one victory
  6. Training – many victories to one victory
  7. Victorie – one victory to one victory
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Remembrance Day 2008

remembrance

In Flanders Fields

By: Lieutenant Colonel John McCrae, MD (1872-1918)
Canadian Army

IN FLANDERS FIELDS the poppies blow
Between the crosses row on row,
That mark our place; and in the sky
The larks, still bravely singing, fly
Scarce heard amid the guns below.

We are the Dead. Short days ago
We lived, felt dawn, saw sunset glow,
Loved and were loved, and now we lie
In Flanders fields.

Take up our quarrel with the foe:
To you from failing hands we throw
The torch; be yours to hold it high.
If ye break faith with us who die
We shall not sleep, though poppies grow
In Flanders fields.

Jared Diamond: Societal Collapse

Vodpod videos no longer available.

more about “Jared Diamond: System Collapse“, posted with vodpod

If you listen carefully to what Jared Diamond is saying in the TED video above, he is describing not a five part, but a six part power curve into a systemic singularity. This has been one of the core themes of discussion of this blog.  We all seem to be too close to our problems to see the commonality.  The interrogatives come into play here:

  1. Goals
  2. People
  3. Functions
  4. Forms
  5. Times
  6. Distances

Times and Distances being the basis on which the higher orders are built.

When we look at the recent economic “crisis” we see 300 trillion in currency circulating and roughly 1 trillion to 2 trillion shifting suddenly and unexpectedly.  We witnessed a systemic collapse, a singularity, a tipping point, a power curve, an exponential change, a phase transition or whatever label you want to call it.  These have been happening everywhere since Time and Distance began in different contexts and orders both in human and non-human systems.

What Jared Diamond and other alarmists are implying is that human society is now a system approaching its final singularity in this century on this planet.  We are implying that today we are experiencing a less than one percent crisis on a power curve into a singularity.  How many more iterations will the global system withstand?  Will humanity make the step into space successfully before we experience a global dark age?  How will the six or more factors in the power curve play out?

The truth to me appears to be that power curves whether they play out or not result in either a systemic climax or anti-climax followed by a systemic collapse.  Would it not be better if we experienced a systemic climax that led to us expanding into the solar system?

Systemic collapse seems to be the fashion of this generation.  Every generation looks with fascination at its own youth, maturition, reproduction and acceleration into mortality.  Some die early, some die late, but all die.  It is an irrevocable law of nature.  It is not about self-interest.  It is about what self-interest is defined as.

Related Posts:

Beyond the Singularity

Servitas and Libertas

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Flags: The World Orders of the 20th Century

Servitas and Libertas

In writing about the abundance of singularities (tipping points) in my previous post (here) it became apparent to me that in literature both great faction (my word for non-fiction) and great fiction document either slavery, servitas, or freedom, libertas.

What is significant here is my education in literature never described it this way. Simply put, the difference is between the two is whether you follow through or not. Do you make the transition from the old order to the new order or do you fall back into the old order. And the libertas plot reveals you can fall back not only before the libra point (the breakthrough), but before the dilibra point (the finish) where you achieve dominance.

The libertas plot illustrates the transition from old plurality to singularity to new pluralarity.

We have all sorts of terms for the old pluralarity: black hole, bar, barricade, bound, boundary, chain, confines, dam, defense, door, drawback, fence, fortress, gate, handicap, hedge, hindrance, hurdle, impediment, limit, line, moat, obstacle, obstruction, palisades, parapet, rail, railing, restraint, roadblock, screen, stockade, trench, wall, oblivion, boundlessness, immeasurability, immeasurableness, inexhaustibility, inexhaustibleness, infiniteness, limitlessness, measurelessness, unboundedness, unlimitedness, affliction, dullness, extortion, hardship, injustice, lassitude, misery, persecution, severity, suffering, tyranny

We also have all sorts of terms for the sigularity: avoid, bolt, breakout, decamp, desertion, disappear, diversion, dodge, duck, elope, elude, emerge, eschew, evade, evasion, flee, fly the coop, getaway, lam, leak, liberation, miss, outflow, outlet, rescue, shake, shun, sidestepping, skip, slip, spill, tone, vamoose, vent, break, breakout, decampment, escapement, flight, getaway, avoidance, bypass, circumvention, evasion, advance, boost, development, discovery, find, improvement, leap, progress, bloodshed, circuit, cycle, gyration, gyre, insurrection, outbreak, overthrow, rebellion, revolt, rotation, turn, unrest, uprising

But the most important word is the new pluralarity: accomplish, achieve, cease, close, coating, complete, completion, conclusion, culminate, defeat, deplete, destroy, devour, die, dispatch, dispose, elaborate, end, execute, finalize, finis, fulfill, glaze, kill, lacquer, limit, mop up, perfect, perfection, stain, stop, surface, terminate, windup

As John F. Kennedy illustrated in his “We choose to go to the Moon” speech, reaching the Moon was the breakthrough, returning safely was the finish.

In the same way we must choose to not only cross the singularity of creating artificial intelligence, but also include the plan to shut it down safely.

When we look at history, winning a war is a breakthrough, restoring order (lasting peace) is the real finish.

The Soviet Union’s defeat in Afghanistan was a crucial anti-climax in world history that exhausted the Soviet Military, Soviet Imperial aspirations and ultimately averted a third world war in the 20th century.

Related Posts:

Jared Diamond: Societal Collapse

Beyond the Singularity

Links:

We choose to go to the Moon Part 1

We choose to go to the Moon Part 2

Six Hats, Six Coats and Sun Tzu

suntzu.jpg

From Sun Tzu on the The Art of War

I. LAYING PLANS

1. Sun Tzu said: The art of war is of vital importance to the State.

2. It is a matter of life and death, a road either to safety or to ruin. Hence it is a subject of inquiry which can on no account be neglected.

3. The art of war, then, is governed by five constant factors, to be taken into account in one’s deliberations, when seeking to determine the conditions obtaining in the field.

4. These are: (1) The Moral Law; (2) Heaven; (3) Earth; (4) The Commander; (5) Method and discipline.

5,6. The Moral Law causes the people to be in complete accord with their ruler, so that they will follow him regardless of their lives, undismayed by any danger.

7. Heaven signifies night and day, cold and heat, times and seasons.

8. Earth comprises distances, great and small; danger and security; open ground and narrow passes; the chances of life and death.

9. The Commander stands for the virtues of wisdom, sincerely, benevolence, courage and strictness.

10. By method and discipline are to be understood the marshaling of the army in its proper subdivisions, the graduations of rank among the officers, the maintenance of roads by which supplies may reach the army, and the control of military expenditure.

11. These five heads should be familiar to every general: he who knows them will be victorious; he who knows them
not will fail.

12. Therefore, in your deliberations, when seeking to determine the military conditions, let them be made the basis of a comparison, in this wise:–

13. (1) Which of the two sovereigns is imbued with the Moral law?
(2) Which of the two generals has most ability?
(3) With whom lie the advantages derived from Heaven and Earth?
(4) On which side is discipline most rigorously enforced?
(5) Which army is stronger?
(6) On which side are officers and men more highly trained?
(7) In which army is there the greater constancy both in reward and punishment?

14. By means of these seven considerations I can forecast victory or defeat.

15. The general that hearkens to my counsel and acts upon it, will conquer: let such a one be retained in command! The general that hearkens not to my counsel nor acts upon it, will suffer defeat:–let such a one be dismissed!

16. While heading the profit of my counsel, avail yourself also of any helpful circumstances over and beyond the ordinary rules.

17. According as circumstances are favorable, one should modify one’s plans.

18. All warfare is based on deception.

19. Hence, when able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces, we must seem inactive; when we are near, we must make the enemy believe we are far away; when far away, we must make him believe we are near.

20. Hold out baits to entice the enemy. Feign disorder, and crush him.

21. If he is secure at all points, be prepared for him. If he is in superior strength, evade him.

22. If your opponent is of choleric temper, seek to irritate him. Pretend to be weak, that he may grow arrogant.

23. If he is taking his ease, give him no rest. If his forces are united, separate them.

24. Attack him where he is unprepared, appear where you are not expected.

25. These military devices, leading to victory, must not be divulged beforehand.

26. Now the general who wins a battle makes many calculations in his temple ere the battle is fought. The general who loses a battle makes but few calculations beforehand. Thus do many calculations lead to victory, and few calculations to defeat: how much more no calculation at all! It is by attention to this point that I can foresee who is likely to win or lose.

Sun Tzu truly was one of the greatest minds in human history. He knew that a war was a collision between two systems. He had a firm grasp of the military as a system and had reduced it to its fundamental components.

  1. MOTIVE: Moral Law. Vision and Mission.
  2. LOCALE: Earth. Terrain.
  3. OBJECT: Discipline. Integrity.
  4. METHOD: Method. Training.
  5. PERSON: Commander. Organization.
  6. MOMENT: Heaven. Climate.

The correlation between the Six Coats and the Five Fundamental Factors is complete. Let’s take a look at Sun Tzu using the Six Hats, Six Coats Framework:

suntzuperspectives02.jpg

A nice fit.

Six Hats, Six Coats and Sun Tzu