Jared Diamond: Societal Collapse

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If you listen carefully to what Jared Diamond is saying in the TED video above, he is describing not a five part, but a six part power curve into a systemic singularity. This has been one of the core themes of discussion of this blog.  We all seem to be too close to our problems to see the commonality.  The interrogatives come into play here:

  1. Goals
  2. People
  3. Functions
  4. Forms
  5. Times
  6. Distances

Times and Distances being the basis on which the higher orders are built.

When we look at the recent economic “crisis” we see 300 trillion in currency circulating and roughly 1 trillion to 2 trillion shifting suddenly and unexpectedly.  We witnessed a systemic collapse, a singularity, a tipping point, a power curve, an exponential change, a phase transition or whatever label you want to call it.  These have been happening everywhere since Time and Distance began in different contexts and orders both in human and non-human systems.

What Jared Diamond and other alarmists are implying is that human society is now a system approaching its final singularity in this century on this planet.  We are implying that today we are experiencing a less than one percent crisis on a power curve into a singularity.  How many more iterations will the global system withstand?  Will humanity make the step into space successfully before we experience a global dark age?  How will the six or more factors in the power curve play out?

The truth to me appears to be that power curves whether they play out or not result in either a systemic climax or anti-climax followed by a systemic collapse.  Would it not be better if we experienced a systemic climax that led to us expanding into the solar system?

Systemic collapse seems to be the fashion of this generation.  Every generation looks with fascination at its own youth, maturition, reproduction and acceleration into mortality.  Some die early, some die late, but all die.  It is an irrevocable law of nature.  It is not about self-interest.  It is about what self-interest is defined as.

Related Posts:

Beyond the Singularity

Servitas and Libertas

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Servitas and Libertas

In writing about the abundance of singularities (tipping points) in my previous post (here) it became apparent to me that in literature both great faction (my word for non-fiction) and great fiction document either slavery, servitas, or freedom, libertas.

What is significant here is my education in literature never described it this way. Simply put, the difference is between the two is whether you follow through or not. Do you make the transition from the old order to the new order or do you fall back into the old order. And the libertas plot reveals you can fall back not only before the libra point (the breakthrough), but before the dilibra point (the finish) where you achieve dominance.

The libertas plot illustrates the transition from old plurality to singularity to new pluralarity.

We have all sorts of terms for the old pluralarity: black hole, bar, barricade, bound, boundary, chain, confines, dam, defense, door, drawback, fence, fortress, gate, handicap, hedge, hindrance, hurdle, impediment, limit, line, moat, obstacle, obstruction, palisades, parapet, rail, railing, restraint, roadblock, screen, stockade, trench, wall, oblivion, boundlessness, immeasurability, immeasurableness, inexhaustibility, inexhaustibleness, infiniteness, limitlessness, measurelessness, unboundedness, unlimitedness, affliction, dullness, extortion, hardship, injustice, lassitude, misery, persecution, severity, suffering, tyranny

We also have all sorts of terms for the sigularity: avoid, bolt, breakout, decamp, desertion, disappear, diversion, dodge, duck, elope, elude, emerge, eschew, evade, evasion, flee, fly the coop, getaway, lam, leak, liberation, miss, outflow, outlet, rescue, shake, shun, sidestepping, skip, slip, spill, tone, vamoose, vent, break, breakout, decampment, escapement, flight, getaway, avoidance, bypass, circumvention, evasion, advance, boost, development, discovery, find, improvement, leap, progress, bloodshed, circuit, cycle, gyration, gyre, insurrection, outbreak, overthrow, rebellion, revolt, rotation, turn, unrest, uprising

But the most important word is the new pluralarity: accomplish, achieve, cease, close, coating, complete, completion, conclusion, culminate, defeat, deplete, destroy, devour, die, dispatch, dispose, elaborate, end, execute, finalize, finis, fulfill, glaze, kill, lacquer, limit, mop up, perfect, perfection, stain, stop, surface, terminate, windup

As John F. Kennedy illustrated in his “We choose to go to the Moon” speech, reaching the Moon was the breakthrough, returning safely was the finish.

In the same way we must choose to not only cross the singularity of creating artificial intelligence, but also include the plan to shut it down safely.

When we look at history, winning a war is a breakthrough, restoring order (lasting peace) is the real finish.

The Soviet Union’s defeat in Afghanistan was a crucial anti-climax in world history that exhausted the Soviet Military, Soviet Imperial aspirations and ultimately averted a third world war in the 20th century.

Related Posts:

Jared Diamond: Societal Collapse

Beyond the Singularity

Links:

We choose to go to the Moon Part 1

We choose to go to the Moon Part 2